![]() ![]() ![]() You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. 75% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. I'm on hols soon, but on my return, I'll show you the DOW Index from the late 1800's to 2000 and as those cycles simply REPEAT you can forecast forward 100, 200, 300.years There are some markets that I've tried to match cycles with and its been too complicated - forget those markets and find ones that you can match cyclesĪll we are looking for are these cycles to predict likely direction for the market we follow and then we can decide when to be an Investor/Trader and when to bail out of that market When you combine all those cycles together with the correct mathematical formulas, you create the RED cycle line which within reason, the market should follow to a high degree of accuracy This UK stock long term cycle trajectory follows the BLUE cycle line and This UK stock bottoms out at the cycle troughs of the PINK cycle line and ![]() This UK stock tops out at the cycle peaks of the YELLOW cycle line and There's absolutely no doubt whatsoever that: Whereas, your smart cookie Investor - buys and sells according to the RED line (and or shorts the stock too!) We could apply more cycles if we wanted to, but I'm willing to bet 99.9% of Investors in that particular UK stock don't have a scooby doo about these 3 dominant cycles it works to and I'm willing to bet most of those long-term Investors HELD on through all the peaks and troughs I only joined this site in 2020, however, I've held these thoughts since 2010 - The markets are set in stone to follow cycles, I've proved that to myself beyond doubt, how those cycles are created who cares, if the market follows them, we want to know and be aware of themīelow is a UK stock - the RED line is the composite index of the 3 long term cycles identified for this stock Now "IF" you truly think that the markets are NOT random and that they follow some sort of pattern, then you should be able to work out what that pattern is and create a method to track/follow it £1 each month is not a big amount you should worry about. I am wasting £1 each month splitting one trade into 3 (3 x £3) rather than saving money on one trade at £8 but to regain frequent trader status I'd need to spend 3 x £8 and have to wait for the month to change - so I'll continue with it. I saw today 3 trades in a QUARTER is enough to waive Custody charges so I have been doing 3 trades per month unnecessarily. Todays prie is low, and I might be wise to buy today, but I'd risk having 6 trades in April and none in May - so I'll wait until Tuesday. I am wasting £1 each month splitting one trade into 3 (3 x £3) rather than one trade at £8 but to regain frequent trader status I'd need to spend 3 x £8 and have to wait for the month to change - so I'll continue with it. ![]() Incidentally I have an ISA and a Nominee account merely because I cannot hold options in my ISA! IG are superb imho, 3 trades on one of them (or maybe (untested) 2 on one and 1 on the other) gives frequent trader status and waiver of Custody fees on BOTH accounts. I do 3 trades at frequent trader rates (£3 each to avoid the regular charge of £8 each) plus I need not worry about about Custody charges of £24 per account per quarter. I found this thread looking for the answer! is the month determined by the transaction date (March) or is it by the settlement date (April)? Keeping the context of the thread, are 3 trades on the 31st March actually going to give concessions in April, or will they be in May? ![]()
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